Abstract:
This paper examines motorization trends in China, which has led to increasing energy consumption and air pollution. Three transport energy scenarios, "Road Ahead," "Oil Saved," and "Integrated Transport" were used to illustrate potential future motorization trends given different policy, vehicle technology, alternative fuel, and driving behavior assumptions. In the "Integrated Transport" scenario, transport oil consumption is 12 percent of the total value in "Road Ahead" by 2020, while carbon emission is 79 percent lower. Policies such as vehicle technology requirements, fiscal policies, and the prioritization of public and non-motorized transport are some of the suggested measures if China wants to reduce its transport energy consumption and greenhouse gas.
Full paper:
China, energy consumption, air pollution, transport energy, motorization, public and non-motorized transport |