| A longitudinal study of mortality and air pollution for Sao Paulo, Brazil | | Denise A. Botter; Bent Jørgensen; and Antonieta A.Q. Peres
Department of Statistics, University of Sao Paulo, Sa˜o Paulo, Brazil; Department of Statistics and Demography, University of Southern Denmark, Odense, Denmark; Department of Mathematics and Statistics, University of Rio de Janeiro, Rio de Janeiro, Brazil |
We study the effects of various air - pollution variables on the daily death counts for people over 65 years in Sa˜o Paulo, Brazil, from 1991 to 1993, controlling for meteorological variables.We use a state space model where the air - pollution variables enter via the latent process, and the meteorological variables via the observation equation. The latent process represents the potential mortality due to air pollution, and is estimated by Kalman filter techniques. The effect of air pollution on mortality is found to be a function of the variation in the sulphur dioxide level for the previous 3 days, whereas the other air - pollution variables ( total suspended particulates, nitrogen dioxide, carbon monoxide, ozone) are not significant when sulphur dioxide is in the equation. There are significant effects of humidity and up to lag 3 of temperature, and a significant seasonal variation.
Journal of Exposure Analysis and Environmental Epidemiology ( 2002) 12, 335–343 doi:10.1038/sj.jea.7500234
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| | See Also | | Measuring impacts | | Health impacts | | Environmental impacts | | Denise A. Botter | | Antonieta A.Q. Peres | | Jorgensen, Bent | | Department of Mathematics and Statistics, University of Rio de Janeiro, Rio de Janeiro, Brazil | | Department of Statistics and Demography, University of Southern Denmark, Odense, Denmark | | Department of Statistics, University of Sao Paulo, Sa˜o Paulo, Brazil |
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